Fantasy Sports Value Analysis
Fantasy sports has evolved from casual hobby to serious competition with real money on the line. Understanding the math behind player values, draft strategies, and league ROI helps you make smarter decisions and maximize your returns.
Understanding Player Value
Points Over Replacement (POR) measures a player's value compared to a readily available replacement. A player projected for 280 points when the replacement level is 220 provides 60 points of value - worth reaching for in drafts.
League ROI Calculation
Your expected value in a fantasy league depends on entry fee, prize structure, and win probability. A $100 entry in a 12-team league creates a $1,200 pool. With 15% win probability in a winner-take-all format, your expected value is $180 (15% x $1,200) for a positive ROI.
Time Investment
Consider the hours spent researching, drafting, and managing your team. If you spend 50 hours across a season for a $500 potential payout, that's $10/hour effective rate - only worthwhile if you enjoy the process.