Key Takeaways
- P/E Ratio = Stock Price / Earnings Per Share (EPS)
- Higher P/E may indicate growth expectations or overvaluation
- Lower P/E may signal value opportunity or company concerns
- Always compare P/E within the same industry sector
- Negative earnings make P/E meaningless - use other metrics
What Is the P/E Ratio?
The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is one of the most widely used stock valuation metrics in fundamental analysis. It compares a company's stock price to its earnings per share, helping investors understand how much they're paying for each dollar of earnings.
Think of it as a "payback period" - if a company has a P/E of 20, you're paying 20 times its annual earnings. At that rate, it would take 20 years of current earnings to "pay back" your investment (ignoring growth).
P/E Ratio = Stock Price / Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Types of P/E Ratios
Trailing P/E (TTM)
Uses actual earnings from the past 12 months. This is the most common P/E calculation because it's based on reported, verified earnings. It's backward-looking but provides concrete data.
Forward P/E
Uses projected earnings for the next 12 months based on analyst estimates. Useful for evaluating growth expectations, but depends on the accuracy of predictions. Forward P/E is typically lower than trailing P/E for growing companies.
Shiller P/E (CAPE)
The Cyclically Adjusted P/E uses average inflation-adjusted earnings over 10 years. This smooths out business cycle fluctuations and is often used for market-wide valuation analysis rather than individual stocks.
How to Interpret P/E Ratios
| P/E Range | Interpretation | Typical Companies |
|---|---|---|
| >30 | High growth expectations or potentially overvalued | Tech growth stocks, high-growth sectors |
| 15-30 | Market average - reasonable valuation | Established companies, market leaders |
| <15 | Potentially undervalued or concerns about growth | Value stocks, mature industries, cyclical companies |
| Negative | Company has negative earnings (losses) | Startups, turnaround situations |
Important Considerations
- Compare within industries: A P/E of 30 might be cheap for a fast-growing tech stock but expensive for a utility company
- Consider growth rate: Use the PEG ratio (P/E / Growth Rate) for growth-adjusted comparison
- Watch for one-time events: Extraordinary gains or losses can distort EPS temporarily
- Quality of earnings: Recurring revenue is more valuable than one-time gains
- Cyclical businesses: P/E may look cheap at cycle peaks when earnings are high
Earnings Yield: The P/E Inverse
Earnings yield (EPS / Price) is simply the inverse of P/E ratio, expressed as a percentage. A P/E of 20 equals a 5% earnings yield. This makes it easier to compare stock returns to bond yields or other investments.